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CBOT oats rose 6.5% to $4.16 a bushel after Statistics Canada's model-based estimate put the 2026 Canadian oat crop 22.7% lower, to 3.03 million tonnes. Most of the decline came from a sharp cut in seeded acreage, while yield fell only 3.5%.
Chicago prices now sit well above Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's forecast average.
A large Canadian supply shortfall tightens the oat balance and supports prices. Chicago's premium over Ottawa's forecast suggests the market has priced in more tightness than the official outlook assumes.
thetradersspread.comRick Steves2026年9月22日在过去 52 次看涨的报告事件之后，燕麦 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.0%（33% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.4% 至 +2.4%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
