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Natural gas prices plunged on forecasts for average or above-average temperatures across most U.S. population centers by mid-January. The drop followed a 40% rally over the prior two months fueled by hedge fund buying.
Warmer forecasts cut heating demand, and unwinding speculative longs adds downward pressure in the near term.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Explains the plunge as a weather-driven reversal of a hedge-fund-fueled 40% rally (positioning and sentiment), though it was published after the move date.