Brent rose above $40 a barrel and WTI gained over 3% on Monday after Joe Biden won the US presidency, lifting risk appetite and weakening the dollar. Saudi Arabia's energy minister said the OPEC+ output cut deal could be adjusted to offset rising supply and weak demand.
A weaker dollar makes dollar-priced commodities cheaper for foreign buyers, and the possible OPEC+ adjustment signals supply management that could tighten crude, though new European lockdowns weigh on demand.
在过去 438 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.9%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +4.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 442 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.9%),20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
在过去 15 次看跌的政策事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(27% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +0.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Biden's win boosted risk appetite and weakened the dollar, and Saudi comments on OPEC+ flexibility added a secondary supply-side factor.