The IMF reports that spot natural gas prices have more than quadrupled to record levels in Europe and Asia, an unusually global and persistent spike. Brent crude recently hit a seven-year high above $85 per barrel as buyers switched to oil, and coal prices reached their highest since 2001.
The IMF expects prices to revert to more normal levels early next year.
Higher energy costs raise inflation and slow growth, while coal and oil substitution lifts fuel and power costs for agriculture and processing. The expected easing in early 2022 limits how long that pressure lasts.
在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。