
Natural gas prices reached seasonal records as global demand grew faster than supply. In Europe, the TTF benchmark rose from about 20 EUR/MWh at the start of 2021 to over 100 EUR/MWh in early October.
Low European storage, weak wind output and drought-reduced hydro generation were cited as drivers, and the tightness was spilling into oil markets.
Expensive gas and power raise costs for nitrogen fertilizer and processing, and tighter energy markets lift substitute fuel prices. This supports higher energy-linked input costs for feed producers.
在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。