
Malaysian palm oil futures fell 7.5% on 21 April to their lowest since August 2019, following a collapse in US crude oil futures that settled negative the previous day. Palm oil's biodiesel demand weakened as the energy price slump made palm-based biodiesel uneconomic against gas oil.
Chinese soyabean oil and palm oil futures also fell on the Dalian exchange.
Palm oil prices are closely tied to crude oil through biodiesel blending economics, so the energy price collapse removes a key demand support and points to continued price weakness.
在过去 51 次看跌的宏观事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.1% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.8%。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The crude oil collapse made palm biodiesel uneconomic and weakened a key demand channel, but the 7.5% fall was on 21 April, before the 5-day window, so it is background pressure.