Soybean futures closed slightly higher on December 27, 2023, with January 2024 contracts up 3.5 cents while soymeal fell 0.90 to 4.30 dollars. Canadian canola rallied 2% to 660.70 per tonne after hitting new lows.
Brazil's Mato Grosso began soybean harvest at a record early pace, and Abiove cut Brazil's soy production forecast by 1.6 million tonnes to 160.3 million.
The Brazilian production cut and early harvest provide mixed signals, while weaker soymeal reflects ample meal supply. Feed buyers should watch Brazilian output revisions for further soybean meal price direction.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 118 次看跌的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
在过去 18 次中性的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.6%(72% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +3.5%),20 个交易日内为 +3.6%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Canola rallied 2% on Dec 27 after hitting new lows alongside soy market moves and Brazil crop cuts, indicating a rebound and volatility in the oilseed complex just before the 6% meal move.