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S&W Trading analyst Andy Shissler expects US soybean exports to exceed current reporting, citing likely switching from unknown destinations. Several recent flash sales went to unknown buyers or China, though none are final until paid.
He notes soybean futures typically rally when China's purchase programs run into year-end.
Expected Chinese purchase programs in the fall would absorb US soybean supply and support prices into year-end. The outlook is still conditional on sales being completed and paid for.
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 342 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。