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Societe Generale maintains its central forecast that USD-CNY will peak at 6.80 over the next 6 to 12 months, assigning 80% probability to this outcome and 20% to a 7.50 risk scenario. The bank cites capital outflows exceeding the current account surplus and ongoing FX reserve depletion.
Expected yuan depreciation would raise the dollar cost of Chinese imports and could reduce demand for dollar-priced feed ingredients at the margin.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。