
Danske Bank's chief analyst expects USD/CNY to keep grinding lower, with the pair near 6.63, its strongest yuan level since November 2016. The dollar index has fallen back to early-2015 levels, and recent data has failed to lift the greenback.
The analyst sees the yuan weakening against the dollar later as growth softens around the autumn party congress.
A weaker dollar and firmer yuan lower the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed imports for China, which can support US soybean and corn demand sentiment. The move is mainly dollar-driven, so it is a modest factor for feed ingredient prices.
在过去 362 次看跌的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。