EUR/USD rose above 1.0800 after the May U.S. CPI report showed softer-than-expected headline and core inflation. Markets raised the odds of a Fed rate cut in September, and the dollar index fell toward 104.50.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields dropped below 4.30%.
Expectations of Fed easing weakened the dollar and lowered Treasury yields, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities and reduce the cost of carrying inventories. Rate-cut bets are a meaningful driver for currency-linked commodity pricing.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Softer-than-expected May US CPI on June 12 raised Fed September cut odds, pushed the dollar index and Treasury yields lower, and lifted EUR/USD above 1.0800, which is the direct driver of the 1% rise.