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Todd Hubbs of the University of Illinois warns that a large Brazilian soybean crop, expected record U.S. soybean acreage, and weak exports could push soybean prices lower. He notes USDA has cut soybean exports four months in a row as China sources more beans from Brazil.
The Prospective Planting report due March 29 is seen as a key test, with an Allendale survey projecting more than 92 million U.S. soybean acres.
Heavier Brazilian supply and lost Chinese demand for U.S. beans point to bearish pressure on soybeans and the meal used in feed. A larger U.S. acreage figure would add further downside.
brownfieldagnews.comMark Dorenkamp2018年3月20日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
