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November Nymex natural gas closed down 5.24% on Monday to a three-week nearest-futures low. Forecasts shifted warmer for the Midwest and eastern US for October 19-23, reducing expected heating demand.
Storage data showed a 82 bcf build for the week ended October 4, above expectations but below the five-year average.
Warmer forecasts cut expected heating demand, which pressures natural gas prices lower. Feed buyers see little direct effect, but lower gas prices can weigh on fertilizer and energy-linked input costs over time.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。