September corn futures dropped about $0.48 and November soybean futures about $0.39 since the Monday open, as Midwest forecasts improved and talk of La Niña faded. Traders also cut long positions ahead of the UK referendum on leaving the European Union, and a Brexit vote was expected to strengthen the US dollar.
Better crop weather removes the weather premium from corn and soybeans, lowering prices. A stronger dollar from a Brexit outcome would make US grain exports less competitive abroad, adding further downward pressure.
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 15 次看涨的天气事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。