The Fed raised rates by 25bp and Chair Yellen struck a more optimistic tone than markets expected, despite a drop in inflation. The Fed raised its GDP forecasts, lowered its unemployment estimates and reaffirmed a third hike for 2017.
The dollar traded sharply higher in response after weak retail and inflation reports had prompted short-dollar positioning.
A hawkish surprise from the Fed lifted the dollar sharply after a short-dollar positioning build-up, which tends to pressure dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Yellen's upbeat tone and raised GDP forecasts reversed short-dollar positioning, producing a sharp dollar rally.