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CME live cattle futures declined as large domestic supplies weighed on prices after a fire at a Tyson Foods slaughterhouse in Kansas temporarily removed a major buyer of livestock. The USDA opened an investigation into whether unfair practices explain the wide gap between cattle and beef prices.
Reduced packer capacity has shifted cattle to other plants and pressured cash cattle, which weighs on feeder cattle demand and futures values while the USDA probe adds uncertainty to packer pricing.
advancedeconomicsolutions.com2019年8月30日在过去 29 次看跌的物流事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（38% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +0.5%），20 个交易日内为 -3.7%。
在过去 20 次看跌的物流事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
CME live cattle futures fell as ample cattle supplies met reduced packer demand after the Tyson fire, and the USDA probe added uncertainty, which is the mechanism for the late-August weakness.
CME cattle futures declined on large supplies, the lost Tyson buyer and the USDA probe, which is directly in the move window and pressured feeder cattle.
Futures declined on large supplies and a removed buyer after the fire, plus the USDA probe, a negative sentiment backdrop heading into the Sept 3 drop.
