Analysis: Exchange rate caught between external factors and fiscal risks

Sau 301 sự kiện vĩ mô tăng giá trước đây, Real Brazil (BRL trên USD) biến động trung vị +0,4% trong 5 phiên (tăng 57%; nửa giữa từ -1,2% đến +1,7%), và +1,0% trong 20 phiên.

• 14 thg 6, 2022Analysis: Exchange rate unlikely to mean trouble for Brazil’s Central Bank+0,7%
• 28 thg 7, 2025Dollar approaches R$5,60 again, driven by external factors after agreement between the US and EU | Brasil 247-0,4%
• 17 thg 4, 2024Haddad blames external factors for weakened real-1,4%
• 1 thg 10, 2026Brazilian Real: Exchange rate seen weaker into year-end – Rabobank-3,5%
• 15 thg 5, 2020Brazil Exchange Rate May 2020 - FocusEconomics-5,4%

Sau 117 sự kiện vĩ mô giảm giá trước đây, Khô đậu tương biến động trung vị -0,6% trong 5 phiên (tăng 41%; nửa giữa từ -2,5% đến +1,7%), và +0,5% trong 20 phiên.

• 22 thg 10, 2021Unofficial exchange rate shows Argentina's de facto devaluation — MercoPress+1,5%
• 1 thg 10, 2026Brazilian Real: Exchange rate seen weaker into year-end – Rabobank+3,2%
• 29 thg 10, 2026The sharp fall in the real exchange rate has caused soybean meal prices to collapse in Brazil and China, which is increasing pressure on prices in Ukraine.-3,3%
• 30 thg 6, 2023Brazilian Real Technical Analysis: USD/BRL, EUR/BRL+1,6%
• 14 thg 5, 2018IMF says supports Argentina floating exchange rate as peso tumbles-1,7%