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6 May 2026JEOPOLITIKOrta Doğu

Oil supply shock to worsen as inventories fall further even if conflict ends

Oil supplies are expected to tighten further in the coming weeks even if the US and Iran reach a peace deal, because shipments from the Middle East Gulf will take weeks to resume and reach refiners worldwide. Inventories are set to keep falling in the meantime.

NEDEN ÖNEMLİ

Physical tightness near term supports crude prices despite peace headlines, limiting downside for energy costs that feed into diesel, freight and fertilizer. Buyers should not assume a deal quickly eases supply.

ETKİLERHam petrol (Brent)▲Ham petrol (WTI)▲ULSD / Dizel▲

1 KAYNAK
reuters.comStephanie Kelly, Seher Dareen6 May 2026

Fiyat tepkisi ve geçmiş

Ham petrol (Brent)▲yükseliş yanlıŞİMDİYE KADAR1d %-8,65d %-2,320d %-11,1

656 geçmiş yükseliş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, Ham petrol (Brent) 5 seansta medyan +%1,9 hareket etti (%63 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-2,7 ile +%6,6 arası) ve 20 seansta +%0,7.

3 Eki 2024Oil jumps over $3 a barrel as Middle East conflict stokes supply worry | Reuters+%3,3
5 Mar 2026Oil settles up around 5% on supply concerns as Iran conflict widens | Reuters+%12,3
14 Haz 2025Investors unnerved as Israel-Iran conflict fuels oil market rally | Reuters+%3,7
15 Mar 2026Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities | Reuters+%11,7
7 Eyl 2026Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict | Reuters+%12,0

Ham petrol (WTI)▲yükseliş yanlıŞİMDİYE KADAR1d %-6,75d +%0,020d %-5,8

626 geçmiş yükseliş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, Ham petrol (WTI) 5 seansta medyan +%2,1 hareket etti (%62 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-2,3 ile +%8,5 arası) ve 20 seansta +%1,6.

3 Eki 2024Oil jumps over $3 a barrel as Middle East conflict stokes supply worry | Reuters+%4,4
5 Mar 2026Oil settles up around 5% on supply concerns as Iran conflict widens | Reuters+%16,5
14 Haz 2025Investors unnerved as Israel-Iran conflict fuels oil market rally | Reuters%-6,1
15 Mar 2026Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities | Reuters+%0,0
7 Eyl 2026Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict | Reuters+%9,3

ULSD / Dizel▲yükseliş yanlıŞİMDİYE KADAR1d %-6,35d +%2,720d %-5,5

250 geçmiş yükseliş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, ULSD / Dizel 5 seansta medyan +%1,7 hareket etti (%58 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-3,6 ile +%8,7 arası) ve 20 seansta +%0,9.

3 Eki 2024Oil jumps over $3 a barrel as Middle East conflict stokes supply worry | Reuters+%4,4
15 Mar 2026Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities | Reuters+%15,6
9 Mar 2026Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters+%10,4
1 Mar 2026Oil jumps, dollar rallies with gold as conflict grips Middle East | Reuters+%36,4
13 Haz 2025Diesel most exposed to Middle East conflict, US futures surge 8% | Reuters+%15,6

Her emtianın referansının olaydan önceki son kapanışa göre hareketi. Geçmiş okumalar aynı türdeki geçmiş olayları birleştirir; neyin olduğunu anlatır, neyin olacağını değil. Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.

Ham petrol (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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Ham petrol (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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