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25 Haz 2025JEOPOLITIKOrta Doğu

Market Talk | Energy Markets Stabilize as Ceasefire Holds and Risk Premiums Fade

Energy markets were choppy but quiet on June 25 as the Israel-Iran ceasefire held and the crude risk premium faded. The API reported a gasoline build and diesel and crude draws, and the US president floated a sanctions change on Chinese purchases of Iranian oil.

NEDEN ÖNEMLİ

Fading geopolitical risk premium lowers crude and diesel costs, while Chinese oil-sanction talk adds trade uncertainty that could affect energy demand and freight.

ETKİLERHam petrol (WTI)▼Ham petrol (Brent)▼ULSD / Dizel◆

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tacenergy.com25 Haz 2025

Fiyat tepkisi ve geçmiş

Ham petrol (WTI)▼düşüş yanlıŞİMDİYE KADAR1d +%0,85d +%1,820d +%3,1

255 geçmiş düşüş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, Ham petrol (WTI) 5 seansta medyan %-2,4 hareket etti (%31 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-7,0 ile +%1,7 arası) ve 20 seansta %-5,0.

8 Nis 2026Dollar falls as US-Iran ceasefire sparks relief rally for risk assets | MarketScreener%-18,9
20 Haz 2025Diesel and Gas. The Energy Report 06/20/2025 - Market InsightsMarket Insights%-12,7
5 May 2026Oil prices fall 4% as fragile US-Iran ceasefire holds, two ships pass through Strait of Hormuz | Reuters%-7,6
23 Haz 2025Oil prices drop 6% as Israel-Iran ceasefire reduces Middle East supply risk | Reuters%-12,2
1 Ağu 2024Oil prices fall 2% to six-week low on ceasefire talks, demand concerns%-3,4

Ham petrol (Brent)▼düşüş yanlıŞİMDİYE KADAR1d %-0,15d %-1,120d +%1,5

250 geçmiş düşüş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, Ham petrol (Brent) 5 seansta medyan %-3,1 hareket etti (%36 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-7,9 ile +%1,6 arası) ve 20 seansta %-5,5.

8 Nis 2026Dollar falls as US-Iran ceasefire sparks relief rally for risk assets | MarketScreener%-13,7
20 Haz 2025Diesel and Gas. The Energy Report 06/20/2025 - Market InsightsMarket Insights%-13,2
5 May 2026Oil prices fall 4% as fragile US-Iran ceasefire holds, two ships pass through Strait of Hormuz | Reuters%-9,6
23 Haz 2025Oil prices drop 6% as Israel-Iran ceasefire reduces Middle East supply risk | Reuters%-11,9
1 Ağu 2024Oil prices fall 2% to six-week low on ceasefire talks, demand concerns%-3,4

ULSD / Dizel◆nötrŞİMDİYE KADAR1d +%0,35d +%1,520d +%7,7

327 geçmiş jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, ULSD / Dizel 5 seansta medyan +%1,0 hareket etti (%54 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-3,9 ile +%7,5 arası) ve 20 seansta +%0,4.

12 Haz 2025Market Talk | Biggest Rally of the Year Stalled Amid Middle East Tensions+%15,5
22 Tem 2026U.S. refiners are ramping up diesel production - TT+%0,6
24 Mar 2026Big drop in diesel futures Monday, but benchmark price rises again - FreightWaves+%7,5
1 Haz 2026EXCLUSIVE: OPEC+ set for another oil output quota hike despite Hormuz closure, sources say+%1,7
26 May 2017OPEC cut unlikely to move U.S. diesel prices - FreightWaves%-4,4

Her emtianın referansının olaydan önceki son kapanışa göre hareketi. Geçmiş okumalar aynı türdeki geçmiş olayları birleştirir; neyin olduğunu anlatır, neyin olacağını değil. Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.

Bağlantılı fiyat hareketleri

Ham petrol (WTI)%-12,75 dönem, 26 Haz 2025 tarihine kadar-2,9σ
Risk premium continued to fade as the ceasefire held on June 25, sustaining the removal of the geopolitical premium in crude.
Ham petrol (Brent)%-14,75 dönem, 26 Haz 2025 tarihine kadar-3,6σ
The risk premium continued to fade as the ceasefire held, with possible sanctions relief on Chinese purchases of Iranian oil weighing on prices.

Ham petrol (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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Ham petrol (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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