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Front-month ICE Brent futures rose 8.97% on June 13, their largest one-day jump in as many as five years, after Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites and killed a top commander. No damage to energy infrastructure had been reported.
Analysts said the outcome depends on whether Iranian oil exports are affected.
JP Morgan's worst-case scenario puts a loss of over 2.1 million b/d of Iranian exports, which could push Dated Brent to $120-$130 a barrel. That would raise energy costs across feed production and freight.
spglobal.com13 Haz 2025656 geçmiş yükseliş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, Ham petrol (Brent) 5 seansta medyan +%1,9 hareket etti (%63 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-2,7 ile +%6,6 arası) ve 20 seansta +%0,7.
626 geçmiş yükseliş yanlı jeopolitik olayları olayından sonra, Ham petrol (WTI) 5 seansta medyan +%2,1 hareket etti (%62 daha yüksek; orta yarı %-2,3 ile +%8,5 arası) ve 20 seansta +%1,6.
Her emtianın referansının olaydan önceki son kapanışa göre hareketi. Geçmiş okumalar aynı türdeki geçmiş olayları birleştirir; neyin olduğunu anlatır, neyin olacağını değil. Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
Brent's 8.97% one-day jump on June 13 after Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites was the main driver of the 5-day move, via a geopolitical supply-risk premium.
Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, and ICE Brent had its largest one-day jump in years as traders priced in risks to Iranian exports.
Front-month Brent had its largest one-day jump in years on June 13 as Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, which added a geopolitical supply-risk premium.
Brent had its largest one-day jump in years after strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, with the price outcome dependent on Iranian export risk.
