◂ Хронология событий

15 мар. 2020 г.МАКРОМир

Oil Slumps to Lowest Since 2016 as Demand Collapse Triggers Rout

Brent crude fell more than 12.5% as the coronavirus spread prompted widening restrictions that threatened the largest annual drop in oil demand on record. Saudi Aramco's CFO said the company was very comfortable with oil at $30 a barrel, and gasoline futures hit their weakest level since at least 2005.

ПОЧЕМУ ЭТО ВАЖНО

Collapsing fuel demand cuts diesel and energy costs for feed mills and lowers the value of biofuel-linked feedstocks. Lower crude prices are bearish for energy-linked agricultural commodities.

ВЛИЯЕТ НАНефть (Brent)▼Нефть (WTI)▼

1 ИСТОЧНИК
bloomberg.comAlex Longley15 мар. 2020 г.

Реакция цены и история

Нефть (Brent)▼медвежийПОКА1d -12,2 %5d -20,5 %20d -23,3 %

После 312 прошлых событий (события «макро»: медвежий) Нефть (Brent) в среднем изменился на -1,7 % за 5 сессий (38% вверх; средняя половина от -5,4 % до +2,3 %) и на -1,7 % за 20.

1 июл. 2019 г.Oil Plunges in Worst Reaction to OPEC Since 2014 on Demand Woes - Bloomberg-4,2 %
26 февр. 2020 г.Crude Sinks to Lowest in a Year as Coronavirus Panic Increases - Bloomberg-5,6 %
25 апр. 2022 г.Oil slumps 4% as Shanghai lockdowns stoke demand fears+2,8 %
19 мар. 2021 г.Oil battered in ugly week as demand concerns, dollar spur slump-1,8 %
16 мар. 2023 г.Oil slumps nearly 5% to lowest in more than a year as banking fears mount+3,2 %

Нефть (WTI)▼медвежийПОКА1d -9,0 %5d -35,6 %20d -29,5 %

После 565 прошлых событий (события «макро»: медвежий) Нефть (WTI) в среднем изменился на -1,4 % за 5 сессий (41% вверх; средняя половина от -5,9 % до +3,0 %) и на -0,5 % за 20.

1 июл. 2019 г.Oil Plunges in Worst Reaction to OPEC Since 2014 on Demand Woes - Bloomberg-1,4 %
26 февр. 2020 г.Crude Sinks to Lowest in a Year as Coronavirus Panic Increases - Bloomberg-5,2 %
1 мар. 2019 г.Canadian Dollar Slumps on `Gruesome' GDP and Sliding Oil Prices - Bloomberg-1,0 %
25 апр. 2022 г.Oil slumps 4% as Shanghai lockdowns stoke demand fears+2,0 %
19 мар. 2021 г.Oil battered in ugly week as demand concerns, dollar spur slump-2,4 %

Изменения бенчмарка каждого товара относительно последнего закрытия до события. Исторические данные объединяют прошлые события того же типа; они описывают случившееся, а не то, что произойдёт. Не является инвестиционной рекомендацией.

Связанные движения цен

Нефть (Brent)-13,2 %1 период до 16 мар. 2020 г.-3,0σ
Bloomberg report of Brent falling over 12.5% to the lowest since 2016 on collapsing demand from virus restrictions, matching the size and timing of the Mar 16 drop.
Нефть (Brent)-23,0 %5 периодов до 19 мар. 2020 г.-4,5σ
Brent fell more than 12.5% on widening virus restrictions threatening record demand decline, with Aramco comfortable with $30 oil signalling no supply restraint.
Нефть (WTI)-30,6 %5 периодов до 18 мар. 2020 г.-6,5σ
Brent fell more than 12.5% as the demand collapse and a price-war supply glut hit oil, with the largest annual demand drop on record in prospect.
Нефть (WTI)-13,2 %1 период до 17 мар. 2020 г.-3,8σ
Describes the demand-collapse rout in oil around March 15-16, with the largest annual demand drop on record feeding the selloff that continued on March 17.

Нефть (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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Нефть (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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Oil Slumps to Lowest Since 2016 as Demand Collapse Triggers Rout

ПОЧЕМУ ЭТО ВАЖНО

Collapsing fuel demand cuts diesel and energy costs for feed mills and lowers the value of biofuel-linked feedstocks. Lower crude prices are bearish for energy-linked agricultural commodities.

1 ИСТОЧНИК

bloomberg.comAlex Longley15 мар. 2020 г.