◂ Хронология событий

10 мар. 2026 г.ГЕОПОЛИТИКАБлижний Восток

Oil settles up nearly 5% as supply fears mount despite record stocks release plan

Oil settled up nearly 5% as fresh attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz pushed the number of vessels struck to at least 14. Shipping through the strait has nearly stopped since the US and Israel began strikes on Iran on February 28.

The IEA recommended a record 400 million barrel stock release to curb prices.

ПОЧЕМУ ЭТО ВАЖНО

Disrupted Hormuz shipping removes about a fifth of world oil supply, keeping crude and diesel costs elevated. The record IEA stock release partly offsets supply losses, but ongoing attacks support higher energy and freight costs for feed producers.

ВЛИЯЕТ НАWTI▲BRENT▲DIESEL▲OCEANFRT▲

1 ИСТОЧНИК
reuters.comShariq Khan10 мар. 2026 г.

Реакция цены и история

WTI▲бычийПОКА1d -11,7 %5d -1,3 %20d +20,4 %

После 626 прошлых событий (события «геополитика»: бычий) WTI в среднем изменился на +2,1 % за 5 сессий (62% вверх; средняя половина от -2,3 % до +8,5 %) и на +1,6 % за 20.

25 мар. 2026 г.Oil settles up nearly 6% as investors fear further Middle East escalation | Reuters+10,2 %
5 мар. 2026 г.Oil settles up around 5% on supply concerns as Iran conflict widens | Reuters+16,5 %
30 авг. 2026 г.Oil settles up by more than 2.5% as US and Iran resume military attacks | Reuters+9,6 %
9 мар. 2026 г.Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters+8,5 %
13 апр. 2022 г.Oil prices settle up 4% despite big U.S. crude inventory build | Reuters+2,1 %

BRENT▲бычийПОКА1d -8,1 %5d +4,1 %20d +27,2 %

После 656 прошлых событий (события «геополитика»: бычий) BRENT в среднем изменился на +1,9 % за 5 сессий (63% вверх; средняя половина от -2,7 % до +6,6 %) и на +0,7 % за 20.

25 мар. 2026 г.Oil settles up nearly 6% as investors fear further Middle East escalation | Reuters+15,0 %
5 мар. 2026 г.Oil settles up around 5% on supply concerns as Iran conflict widens | Reuters+12,3 %
30 авг. 2026 г.Oil settles up by more than 2.5% as US and Iran resume military attacks | Reuters+10,8 %
9 мар. 2026 г.Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters+9,5 %
13 апр. 2022 г.Oil prices settle up 4% despite big U.S. crude inventory build | Reuters+1,3 %

DIESEL▲бычийПОКА1d -2,0 %5d +11,4 %20d +27,3 %

После 250 прошлых событий (события «геополитика»: бычий) DIESEL в среднем изменился на +1,7 % за 5 сессий (58% вверх; средняя половина от -3,6 % до +8,7 %) и на +0,9 % за 20.

9 мар. 2026 г.Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters+10,4 %
23 июл. 2026 г.Oil settles over $100 as Houthi attacks intensify Middle East supply risks | Reuters+0,7 %
19 мар. 2026 г.Prices for oil, fuel cargoes smash record highs as Iran war chokes Middle East supply | Reuters-6,3 %
20 мар. 2026 г.Oil jumps to highest settlement since July 2022 as more Mideast supply disrupted | Reuters-1,8 %
3 мар. 2022 г.Oil slides from decade-highs as Iran talks kindle supply hopes | Reuters-0,0 %

OCEANFRT▲бычий

Пока недостаточно сопоставимых прошлых событий для исторического анализа.

Изменения бенчмарка каждого товара относительно последнего закрытия до события. Исторические данные объединяют прошлые события того же типа; они описывают случившееся, а не то, что произойдёт. Не является инвестиционной рекомендацией.

Связанные движения цен

BRENT+29,8 %5 периодов до 18 мар. 2026 г.4,8σ
Oil settled up ~5% as attacks on ships in Hormuz mounted, adding supply-risk premium despite the record IEA stock release plan.
DIESEL+18,8 %5 периодов до 17 мар. 2026 г.3,2σ
Oil rose nearly 5% on Mar 10 as attacks on ships in Hormuz mounted (at least 14 vessels struck), adding risk premium that carried into diesel despite the IEA stock release plan.
DIESEL+17,6 %5 периодов до 15 мар. 2026 г.3,2σ
Oil settled up nearly 5% as ships were attacked in Hormuz, adding to crude and diesel gains during the window.
BRENT+12,5 %1 период до 12 мар. 2026 г.4,0σ
Attacks on ships in Hormuz (14+ vessels struck) on Mar 10 show the escalating supply risk that carried into Mar 12, partly offset by the stock release plan.

WTI · GP ▸

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