
Combined milk output from the largest dairy exporters (New Zealand, EU, US, Argentina, Australia) fell below prior-year levels from September 2021 and had not recovered by mid-2022, with first-half output about 1.1% lower. Environmental rules in Europe and New Zealand are capping herds, Australian drought has shrunk the herd, and South American inflation and currency volatility are curbing investment.
US producers face high feed and hay costs, with Central Valley hay near $450 per ton.
A prolonged global milk shortfall with slow supply response keeps dairy supplies tight and supports milk prices. Higher feed and hay costs also squeeze producer margins, which can further limit output.
Após 32 eventos altista de clima passados, Leite (Classe III) subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (50% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,4%), e +3,2% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.