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Brazil's central bank kept the Selic rate at 6.50% at its 16 May meeting, ending a run of twelve consecutive cuts, against consensus expectations of a 25 bps cut. The decision followed a sharp 12% fall in the real against the dollar since March, which shifted the balance of risks toward higher inflation.
The bank signaled the rate would be held steady, marking the end of the easing cycle.
A halt to rate cuts and a weaker real raise Brazil's domestic inflation risk and make Brazilian export origin cheaper in dollar terms, which weighs on world feed prices. Higher domestic borrowing costs could also slow Brazilian livestock and feed-using sectors.
latribune.lazardfreresgestion.frLazard Freres Gestion22 de mai. de 2018Após 301 eventos altista de macro passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (57% de alta; metade central de -1,2% a +1,7%), e +1,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
