
Oil prices fell sharply to two-week lows on May 6 as reports said the US and Iran were nearing an initial peace deal, with Pakistan acting as mediator and Iran reviewing a US proposal. Brent settled down $8.60 (7.83%) at $101.27 after dipping below $100 for the first time since April 22, and WTI lost $7.19 to $95.08.
A prospective end to the Middle East war would ease fears of lost Gulf supply, pushing crude lower. Lower crude reduces diesel and energy costs for feed production and transport, and can weaken biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils.
Após 250 eventos baixista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana -3,1% em 5 sessões (36% de alta; metade central de -7,9% a +1,6%), e -5,5% em 20.
Após 255 eventos baixista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana -2,4% em 5 sessões (31% de alta; metade central de -7,0% a +1,7%), e -5,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Reports of a near US-Iran peace deal triggered a $8.60 one-day Brent drop to about $101, directly driving the sentiment-led decline as the risk premium for Gulf supply disruption was removed.