Natural gas fell sharply in early November after the November contract settled at $2.764 per MMBtu and the December contract lost nearly 10% in its first four trading days. Lingering summer-like temperatures and forecasts for above-normal temperatures through November drove the decline.
Storage was 4.9% above the five-year average, and end-of-year storage was projected above 4.0 Tcf.
A delayed heating season and large projected storage levels point to continued injections and weak prices into winter. This bearish outlook also affects electricity markets that rely on gas-fired generation.
Após 104 eventos baixista de clima passados, Gás natural subiu em mediana -7,8% em 5 sessões (22% de alta; metade central de -14,8% a -0,8%), e -3,3% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.