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Oil fell about 5% on February 2 after Trump said Iran was seriously talking with Washington, signalling de-escalation. Brent traded near $65.86 and WTI near $61.79 after both had posted their biggest monthly gains since 2022 in January.
Falling supply disruptions in the US and Kazakhstan also weighed on prices.
The fading geopolitical premium and the return of supply to the market reduce crude costs for feed producers. Analysts say the market is fundamentally bearish, which points to further downside if the tensions stay eased.
energynow.com1 de fev. de 2026Após 250 eventos baixista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana -3,1% em 5 sessões (36% de alta; metade central de -7,9% a +1,6%), e -5,5% em 20.
Após 255 eventos baixista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana -2,4% em 5 sessões (31% de alta; metade central de -7,0% a +1,7%), e -5,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Oil fell about 5% on Feb 2 as Trump said Iran was seriously talking with Washington, so the geopolitical risk premium came out after January's big rally.
