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Brazil's Ibovespa equity index jumped 4.1 percent, its biggest gain in two years, as the real strengthened to a two-month high. Petrobras shares rose more than 8 percent and bonds rallied alongside, as investors reacted to Jair Bolsonaro taking a commanding lead in the presidential race.
Political outcomes favoring market-friendly policy strengthen the real, which makes Brazilian soy, corn and meal cheaper for foreign buyers and can pressure global feed prices. The effect on grain prices is indirect and modest.
bloomberg.comRita Nazareth, Aline Oyamada, Vinicius Andrade8 de out. de 2018Após 213 eventos baixista de macro passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana -0,2% em 5 sessões (46% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +0,9%), e +0,2% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
The Ibovespa jumped 4.1% and the real hit a two-month high on Bolsonaro's commanding lead, a direct sentiment-driven capital inflow that strengthened BRL sharply.
Bloomberg reports the real hit a two-month high as investors rallied on Bolsonaro's commanding lead, which matches the sharp BRL per USD drop (BRL strengthening) through sentiment and capital inflows.
