◂ Linha do tempo do evento

4 de out. de 2024GEOPOLÍTICAMalásia

Palm surges on Middle East conflict, records highest weekly gain in 16 months - Markets

Malaysian palm oil futures closed higher on Friday, with the December Bursa Malaysia contract rising 2.94% to 4,305 ringgit a metric ton and recording a weekly gain of 6.27%, the largest since June 2023. The rally followed a widening Middle East conflict that lifted crude oil prices.

Soyoil in Chicago also rose slightly.

POR QUE IMPORTA

Higher crude oil makes palm oil more attractive as a biodiesel feedstock, pulling demand and pushing prices up. Palm also traded at a premium to soyoil and sunflower oil, supporting the wider vegetable oil complex used in feed fats.

AFETAÓleo de palma▲Óleo de soja▲Petróleo (WTI)▲Petróleo (Brent)▲

FONTE
brecorder.comReuters4 de out. de 2024

Reação de preço e histórico

Óleo de palma▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +1,9%5d -0,1%20d +2,7%

Após 62 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de palma subiu em mediana +2,5% em 5 sessões (74% de alta; metade central de -0,1% a +5,8%), e +4,0% em 20.

1 de nov. de 2022Palm oil surges nearly 5% on worries over Black Sea supplies - Markets - Business Recorder+13,1%
23 de fev. de 2022Palm hits all-time high on supply concerns due to Ukraine crisis - Markets - Business Recorder+15,0%
24 de jul. de 2023Palm oil up over news on Ukraine port attack - Markets - Business Recorder+0,1%
31 de out. de 2022Palm rises over 4% after Russia pulls out of Black Sea export corridor - Markets - Business Recorder+11,7%
1 de out. de 2026Global vegetable oil prices seen rising on tighter supply, says analyst Mielke - Markets - Business Recorder-0,4%

Óleo de soja▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d -0,6%5d -0,2%20d +4,0%

Após 110 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de soja subiu em mediana +1,8% em 5 sessões (65% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,6%), e -0,4% em 20.

1 de nov. de 2022Palm oil surges nearly 5% on worries over Black Sea supplies - Markets - Business Recorder+4,0%
23 de fev. de 2022Palm hits all-time high on supply concerns due to Ukraine crisis - Markets - Business Recorder+3,8%
24 de jul. de 2023Palm oil up over news on Ukraine port attack - Markets - Business Recorder+3,6%
31 de out. de 2022Palm rises over 4% after Russia pulls out of Black Sea export corridor - Markets - Business Recorder+3,1%
1 de out. de 2026Global vegetable oil prices seen rising on tighter supply, says analyst Mielke - Markets - Business Recorder+2,3%

Petróleo (WTI)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +0,8%5d +2,9%20d -6,3%

Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.

2 de mar. de 2026Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict | Latest Market News+35,6%
7 de set. de 2026Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict | Reuters+9,3%
31 de mai. de 2022C$ holds near multi-week high as EU bans Russian oil - Markets - Business Recorder+3,0%
31 de jan. de 2022Supply, geopolitics put oil on track - Markets - Business Recorder+5,6%
4 de out. de 2024Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk | Reuters+2,9%

Petróleo (Brent)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +1,4%5d +2,4%20d -5,7%

Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.

2 de out. de 2026Markets Ablaze: Gas & LNG Prices Surge as Middle East Conflict Escalates+7,5%
7 de set. de 2026Oil prices rise to six-week highs on worsening Middle East conflict | Reuters+12,0%
31 de mai. de 2022C$ holds near multi-week high as EU bans Russian oil - Markets - Business Recorder+0,8%
31 de jan. de 2022Supply, geopolitics put oil on track - Markets - Business Recorder+4,7%
4 de out. de 2024Oil settles up, biggest weekly gains in over a year on Middle East war risk | Reuters+2,4%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Movimentos de preço relacionados

Óleo de palma+9,3%5 períodos até 7 de out. de 20244,1σ
Palm posted its largest weekly gain in 16 months (6.27%) as the widening Middle East conflict lifted crude oil, which strengthens palm's biodiesel and energy-linked demand, directly covering most of the move window.
Óleo de palma+9,1%5 períodos até 4 de out. de 20244,5σ
Oct 4 palm surge of 2.94% and a 6.27% weekly gain, the largest since June 2023, on Middle East conflict lifting crude oil, directly matches the 5-day move.
Petróleo (Brent)+13,0%5 períodos até 7 de out. de 20243,2σ
Describes the widening Middle East conflict lifting crude oil during the week of Oct 4, confirming the sustained geopolitical driver, though it is palm-focused and a downstream indicator of the crude move.

Óleo de palma PALMOIL · GP ▸

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Óleo de soja SBO · GP ▸

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