European oil product markets jumped on Friday as Israel's overnight strikes on Iranian nuclear sites raised fears of Iranian crude supply shocks and Strait of Hormuz disruption. Low sulfur gasoil futures spiked to around $687/mt, and traders rushed to cover short positions.
Risk to Middle East crude and product flows lifts European gasoil and distillate prices, which tightens global diesel supply and supports higher fuel costs.
Após 250 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, ULSD / Diesel subiu em mediana +1,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -3,6% a +8,7%), e +0,9% em 20.
Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
European gasoil spiked as shorts were covered on Iran supply fears, transmitting to global diesel pricing.
European gasoil futures spiked and shorts covered on June 13, which lifted global diesel benchmarks and US prices through arbitrage linkage.
European oil products jumped on Hormuz disruption fears and short covering, reflecting the same shock in the crude complex.
Fears of Iranian crude supply shocks and Strait of Hormuz disruption lifted European products, reinforcing the crude supply-risk premium.