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The Brazilian real, the worst-performing floating EM currency in 2020, has recovered about 10% against the dollar over the last two weeks, returning to 5.3 per dollar from above 5.9. The article notes that the Covid-19 epidemic is accelerating sharply in Brazil and that capital flight and falling oil prices have weighed on the currency.
Dollar weakness and some EM recovery have supported the real's rebound.
The epidemic's spread weighs on Brazilian growth and feed demand, but the stronger real raises the local cost of Brazilian exports, which can marginally support global feed ingredient prices.
exportplanning.comAlba Di Rosa, Marzia Moccia, Marcello Antonioni29 de mai. de 2020Após 244 eventos baixista de qualquer tipo passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana -0,4% em 5 sessões (43% de alta; metade central de -1,7% a +0,9%), e +0,1% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Describes the real's roughly 10% rebound from above 5.9 to about 5.3 per dollar over two weeks, which matches the -7.5% USD/BRL move, attributing it to dollar weakness and an EM recovery; it is dated after the window but describes the same move.
