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Eight OPEC+ countries unexpectedly agreed to increase output by 411,000 barrels per day in May, well above the expected 135,000 bpd. Brent dropped over 6% to below $70 a barrel after the decision, extending losses from tariff-driven declines.
A larger-than-expected supply increase from OPEC+ adds to oil surplus expectations, bearish for crude and energy-linked feed costs such as diesel and biofuel-linked demand.
bloomberg.comGrant Smith3 de abr. de 2025
cnbc.comRuxandra Iordache3 de abr. de 2025
reuters.comOlesya Astakhova3 de abr. de 2025
upi.comDoug Cunningham3 de abr. de 2025Após 215 eventos baixista de política passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -4,4% a +3,3%), e +0,2% em 20.
Após 210 eventos baixista de política passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana -0,9% em 5 sessões (48% de alta; metade central de -3,8% a +3,2%), e +0,2% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
The surprise OPEC+ decision to raise May output by 411k bpd versus 135k expected was a supply shock that pushed Brent below $70 on April 3.
The surprise OPEC+ decision to raise May output by 411k bpd versus 135k expected added a supply glut expectation and pushed Brent below $70.
Surprise OPEC+ decision to raise May output by 411k bpd (vs 135k expected) was a direct supply shock that drove a >6% drop in oil.
The surprise OPEC+ increase of 411k bpd for May added supply expectations and pushed Brent below $70.
