◂ Linha do tempo do evento

11 de jul. de 2017CLIMASub-Saharan Africa

How Africa can prepare against the next El Niño and why - Sub-Saharan Africa

An SciDev article by Esther Ngumbi urges African governments to prepare for the next El Niño, citing a WMO projection of a 50-60% chance of El Niño forming in mid-to-late 2017. It notes El Niño can bring either drought or floods depending on region, and that the 2016 event caused severe food insecurity.

POR QUE IMPORTA

The article is a policy call for preparedness rather than a supply event, with limited direct price impact; the El Niño risk it cites is outdated by later models that show lower odds, so it has little effect on feed grain prices.

AFETAMilho Soja em grão Trigo (SRW)Óleo de palma

FONTE
scidev.net11 de jul. de 2017

Reação de preço e histórico

Milhosem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d +0,1%5d −4,3%20d −4,6%

Após 2.467 eventos de clima passados, Milho subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +1,7%), e +0,6% em 20.

6 de out. de 2018How to prepare for an El Niño winter | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast-0,3%
19 de mai. de 2017El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+1,3%
1 de jul. de 2026WMO: Prepare for El Niño+3,0%
17 de jan. de 2019How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño | PreventionWeb+0,7%
18 de set. de 2017How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov-0,3%

Soja em grãosem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d +0,5%5d −3,5%20d −5,9%

Após 1.964 eventos de clima passados, Soja em grão subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,7% a +1,8%), e +0,3% em 20.

19 de mai. de 2017El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change-0,6%
1 de jul. de 2026WMO: Prepare for El Niño+7,0%
17 de jan. de 2019How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño | PreventionWeb+2,4%
18 de set. de 2017How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov+1,6%
9 de abr. de 2023El Niño could arrive at a dangerous time for the Pacific. Here's how local farmers are preparing - ABC News+0,5%

Trigo (SRW)sem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d +0,2%5d −2,0%20d −1,7%

Após 1.773 eventos de clima passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (52% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +2,1%), e +0,2% em 20.

19 de mai. de 2017El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+3,0%
1 de jul. de 2026WMO: Prepare for El Niño-0,4%
10 de jan. de 2023What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?-0,6%
18 de set. de 2017How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov-0,2%
9 de abr. de 2023El Niño could arrive at a dangerous time for the Pacific. Here's how local farmers are preparing - ABC News-2,5%

Óleo de palmasem leitura direcionalATÉ AGORA1d −0,2%5d −1,2%20d +0,6%

Após 361 eventos de clima passados, Óleo de palma subiu em mediana +0,0% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,3% a +1,3%), e -0,2% em 20.

1 de jul. de 2026WMO: Prepare for El Niño+0,6%
10 de jan. de 2023What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?-4,6%
18 de set. de 2017How El Niño and La Niña affect the winter jet stream and U.S. climate | NOAA Climate.gov-2,0%
9 de abr. de 2023El Niño could arrive at a dangerous time for the Pacific. Here's how local farmers are preparing - ABC News-2,1%
29 de abr. de 2021El Niño can help predict cacao harvests+3,3%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Milho CORN · GP ▸

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Soja em grão SOY · GP ▸

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