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Live cattle futures sold off on April 1 after HPAI was found in dairy cows in Texas and a dairy worker became the second known human case in the U.S. Traders pulled back, and the April contract fell toward $180 while the weighted average cash price had reached $188.10. The author argues that the selloff was driven by fear rather than fundamentals.
The selloff lowered cattle futures and gave packers cheaper cattle, which pressures livestock feed demand and prices. Analysts see little food-chain exposure, so prices could recover if fear fades.
wlj.netPete Crow, WLJ publisher emeritus5 de abr. de 2024Após 70 eventos baixista de doença passados, Boi gordo subiu em mediana +0,0% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,7% a +1,0%), e +0,4% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
