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Highly pathogenic avian flu has been confirmed in dairy herds in Michigan, Texas, Kansas and Idaho, with presumptive positives in New Mexico. Affected herds have lost milk production, but no herds have been liquidated.
Milk futures and cash prices have not yet been affected, though cheese spot prices have declined and pushed nearby Class III contracts to new lows.
Lower cheese prices are weighing on Class III milk futures, and the outbreak could eventually reduce milk output. Spring flush and steady demand currently keep supply sufficient, so the effect on prices has so far been limited.
dairyherd.comRobin Schmahl3 de abr. de 2024Após 10 eventos baixista de doença passados, Leite (Classe III) subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (60% de alta; metade central de -0,5% a +0,7%), e +2,2% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
H5N1 confirmed in dairy herds across several states pressured spot cheese and pushed nearby Class III contracts to new lows, adding to demand and sentiment concerns.
Notes cheese spot prices declined and pushed nearby Class III contracts to new lows amid HPAI uncertainty, supporting a sentiment and cheese-driven selloff.
