
Oil prices fell on March 8 after Trump said the US was considering taking over the Strait of Hormuz and indicated the war would soon end. WTI traded down 6.19% to $85.27 after surging to $119.48 earlier, and Brent was 4.6% lower.
Trump also reportedly considered easing oil sanctions on Russia.
Prospects for a faster end to the conflict and possible Russian supply easing reduce the crude risk premium, lowering energy costs for feed producers. The earlier spike shows how sensitive prices are to Strait disruptions.
Após 255 eventos baixista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana -2,4% em 5 sessões (31% de alta; metade central de -7,0% a +1,7%), e -5,0% em 20.
Após 250 eventos baixista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana -3,1% em 5 sessões (36% de alta; metade central de -7,9% a +1,6%), e -5,5% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Trump's comments about taking over Hormuz and ending the war soon began the retreat from the spike highs, setting up the further drop.
WTI spiked to $119 intraday then reversed on Trump's comments, adding volatility to the window's ending level.