Brazil's central bank said it would keep intervening in the foreign exchange market in whatever size is needed to keep trading orderly. Its $3 billion spot auction on Monday tripled the size announced the previous Friday and followed nearly $10 billion in dollar swap auctions in recent weeks.
The move followed a collapse in oil prices that drove sharp volatility across world markets.
A central bank commitment to unlimited intervention caps further real weakness, which lowers the dollar-denominated cost of Brazilian export commodities. The oil price shock is also a global demand and risk-sentiment factor for commodity prices.
Após 213 eventos baixista de macro passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana -0,2% em 5 sessões (46% de alta; metade central de -1,5% a +0,9%), e +0,2% em 20.
Após 565 eventos baixista de macro passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana -1,4% em 5 sessões (41% de alta; metade central de -5,9% a +3,0%), e -0,5% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
The central bank's pledge to keep intervening, after the oil price collapse and nearly $10 billion in swap auctions in recent weeks, reflects the FX stress and sentiment driving the 5-day real depreciation.