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Brazilian markets fell sharply on March 18, 2020, and the real slid almost 5% to as low as 5.2490 per dollar. Central bank foreign exchange and bond interventions did not stop the sell-off, and the currency's 2020 losses approached 25%.
A weaker real makes Brazilian exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can pressure dollar prices for Brazilian soy and corn and encourage farmers to sell more. The currency move is therefore bearish for those commodities.
reuters.comJamie McGeever18 de mar. de 2020Após 301 eventos altista de macro passados, Real brasileiro (BRL por USD) subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (57% de alta; metade central de -1,2% a +1,7%), e +1,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
On March 18 the real slid almost 5% to about 5.25 per dollar despite central bank intervention, which accounts for a large part of the 5-day move ending that date.
The real's near-5% slide on March 18 despite central bank intervention shows the momentum and risk aversion that carried into the following sessions.
