
Overseas investors are finding dollars increasingly expensive and scarce as the Fed raises rates and shrinks its balance sheet. The cross-currency basis widened sharply on Thursday, the day after the Fed's eighth hike of the cycle, and the cost of borrowing dollars offshore is now the highest since 2009.
Quarter-end rebalancing and Italy-related euro outflows may have contributed.
Tighter dollar funding raises the cost of trade finance and debt service for importers of feed commodities, which can curb purchases and weigh on prices. It also signals a stronger dollar that pressures dollar-priced commodities.
Após 2.356 eventos altista de macro passados, Dólar americano (amplo) subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (60% de alta; metade central de -0,3% a +0,7%), e +0,4% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.