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A Columbia CGEP commentary says US natural gas storage is about 700 Bcf below normal, with consumption and exports growing faster than production. It warns that the market is underpricing the risk of winter price spikes at Henry Hub and regional basis points.
The paper also notes that consumers are underhedged.
A structural storage deficit means limited cushion against cold weather, which supports gas prices through winter. Higher gas costs feed through to energy-intensive feed milling and ethanol co-product economics.
energypolicy.columbia.eduColumbia, CGEP16 de out. de 2018Após 155 eventos altista de macro passados, Gás natural subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -4,0% a +7,1%), e +2,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
