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Diesel prices could jump more than 20% overnight after drone strikes on Saudi Arabia removed nearly half of its oil production, about 5% of global supply. Oil futures opened Sunday evening with first trades up more than 20%.
The national average ULSD truckstop price was $2.98 a gallon, and officials said restoration could take weeks.
A roughly 5% overnight global supply shock is historically large and pushes diesel and freight costs sharply higher. Fuel surcharges and hauling costs for feed and grain shipments would rise quickly.
freightwaves.comCraig Fuller, CEO at FreightWaves16 de set. de 2019Após 250 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, ULSD / Diesel subiu em mediana +1,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -3,6% a +8,7%), e +0,9% em 20.
Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.
Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Notes oil futures opened Sunday evening up more than 20% on the Saudi outage.
Shows futures opening more than 20% higher on the loss of nearly half of Saudi output, consistent with the supply shock.
Notes oil futures opened Sunday evening sharply higher after the Saudi strikes, indicating the expected pass-through to diesel, but it is mostly forward-looking commentary.
