
The ECB published the account of its monetary policy meeting, noting that global risk sentiment had improved since March and equity markets had risen strongly in the first quarter. Markets had pushed expectations for the first ECB rate increase further out, and short-term money market rate expectations had shifted lower.
The Fed had also lowered its rate projections and slowed its Treasury balance sheet runoff.
Expectations of easier money for longer tend to weaken the euro and support risk assets, which can modestly lift commodity prices priced in dollars.
Após 533 eventos baixista de macro passados, Euro (USD por EUR) subiu em mediana -0,3% em 5 sessões (33% de alta; metade central de -1,2% a +0,2%), e -0,5% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.