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Danske Bank says USD/CNY jumped to its highest level in six years, near 6.72, after trading resumed following the Chinese holiday. The bank views the move as business as usual and expects the weakening trend to continue, with a 12-month target of 7.1.
It cites slowing growth, high debt, rising US rates, negative FDI flows and financial crisis risk.
A forecast for a sustained weaker yuan would reduce Chinese import purchasing power for feed commodities over the coming year. The effect on feed prices depends on whether the trend materializes.
octaafrica.net11 de out. de 2016Após 398 eventos altista de macro passados, Yuan chinês (CNY por USD) subiu em mediana +0,0% em 5 sessões (56% de alta; metade central de -0,3% a +0,5%), e +0,0% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
USD/CNY jumped to a six-year high near 6.72 when onshore trading resumed after the holiday, which describes the move in question and reflects bearish sentiment on the yuan.
USD/CNY jumped to a six-year high near 6.72 on resumed trading, and the bank's bearish yuan outlook reinforced depreciation sentiment.
