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5 de mar. de 2026GEOPOLÍTICAGlobal

ULSD Futures Soar to 3-Year Highs as Iran War Drags

NYMEX ULSD front-month futures peaked at $3.5755 per gallon, the highest since January 2023, and ICE gasoil reached its highest since October 2022. Refiners in Asia cut runs and cancelled exports as Strait of Hormuz tanker traffic stalled, removing roughly 5 million bpd of refined product supply.

POR QUE IMPORTA

Lost Middle East diesel and jet supply tightens global distillate markets and raises freight and fertilizer-related costs for feed producers, while energy strength supports biofuel feedstock prices.

AFETAULSD / Diesel▲Petróleo (WTI)▲Petróleo (Brent)▲Óleo de soja▲Óleo de palma▲

FONTE
dtnpf.comKarim Bastati DTN Analyst5 de mar. de 2026

Reação de preço e histórico

ULSD / Diesel▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +6,9%5d +12,0%20d +22,1%

Após 250 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, ULSD / Diesel subiu em mediana +1,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -3,6% a +8,7%), e +0,9% em 20.

6 de mar. de 2026Iran war sends US crude futures up 12% a barrel | Reuters+10,8%
25 de mar. de 2024Crude futures surge 7pc to new four-year high | Latest Market News-0,9%
29 de set. de 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+1,6%
2 de mar. de 2026Oil prices soar amid Strait of Hormuz fears as Iran war intensifies+36,4%
17 de jun. de 2025Diesel Prices Surge as Israel-Iran War Pressures Market - TT-4,0%

Petróleo (WTI)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +8,5%5d +16,5%20d +35,8%

Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.

23 de out. de 2025Soybean, corn futures touch 1-month highs as crude oil soars — TradingView News+3,3%
6 de mar. de 2026Iran war sends US crude futures up 12% a barrel | Reuters+18,2%
25 de mar. de 2024Crude futures surge 7pc to new four-year high | Latest Market News+4,1%
29 de set. de 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+1,5%
4 de mar. de 2022Oil surges to multi-year highs as Russian supply shortfall looms-1,6%

Petróleo (Brent)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +6,8%5d +12,3%20d +35,0%

Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.

23 de out. de 2025Soybean, corn futures touch 1-month highs as crude oil soars — TradingView News+4,1%
6 de mar. de 2026Iran war sends US crude futures up 12% a barrel | Reuters+16,6%
25 de mar. de 2024Crude futures surge 7pc to new four-year high | Latest Market News+1,9%
29 de set. de 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+2,3%
4 de mar. de 2022Oil surges to multi-year highs as Russian supply shortfall looms-0,9%

Óleo de soja▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +1,5%5d +1,2%20d -2,3%

Após 110 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de soja subiu em mediana +1,8% em 5 sessões (65% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,6%), e -0,4% em 20.

17 de jul. de 2023November Soybean Futures Continue to Climb Higher - AgWeb+0,1%
8 de jul. de 2026Soybean Oil Hits Three-Week High as US-Iran Ceasefire Dissolves - Bloomberg+7,3%
12 de dez. de 2016Oil surges to 1 1/2-year high, Fed rate increase looms-0,0%
9 de mar. de 2026Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters-0,7%
20 de jul. de 2023Palm oil futures hit four-month high as Black Sea tensions escalate+7,5%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Movimentos de preço relacionados

Óleo de palma+2,8%1 período até 6 de mar. de 20263,2σ
Diesel and gasoil futures hitting multi-year highs on 2026-03-05 raise biodiesel and renewable diesel economics, strengthening palm oil as an energy-linked vegetable oil on the day before the move.
Petróleo (Brent)+8,6%1 período até 5 de mar. de 20263,3σ
Hormuz tanker stalls removing about 5 mbpd of refined product supply pushed ULSD to 3-year highs, reinforcing crude strength on March 5.
Óleo de palma+6,5%5 períodos até 8 de mar. de 20263,4σ
Diesel and gasoil futures hit multi-year highs on March 5, raising the biodiesel substitution appeal of palm oil and supporting prices.
Petróleo (Brent)+8,3%1 período até 6 de mar. de 20263,2σ
Products tightness from stalled Hormuz tanker traffic, with ULSD at 3-year highs, reinforced crude strength heading into March 6.

ULSD / Diesel DIESEL · GP ▸

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Petróleo (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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