
Trump told CNBC he expected Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to announce a cut of 10 million to 15 million barrels a day, with no timeframe given. WTI settled up 24.67% at $25.32 and Brent jumped 21% to $29.94, both record gains.
Trump later said the cut could be substantially more.
A announced cut of this scale would sharply reduce crude supply and lift energy costs. Because no timeline or distribution was specified, the price impact depends on confirmation from the producers.
Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.
Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.
Após 110 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Óleo de soja subiu em mediana +1,8% em 5 sessões (65% de alta; metade central de -0,7% a +3,6%), e -0,4% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Trump's claim of a 10-15 million bpd Saudi-Russia cut drove WTI's record 24.67% one-day gain on April 2, the core driver of the 5-day rally (sentiment/supply expectation).
Trump's April 2 statement that he expected Putin and MBS to announce a 10-15 million bpd cut was the direct catalyst for the record one-day WTI rally (supply-cut sentiment shock).
Trump's statement that Putin and MBS would announce a 10-15M bpd cut triggered the record gains in Brent and WTI on April 2.
Trump's claim of a 10-15 million bpd Saudi/Russian cut triggered the record surge in Brent and WTI, a supply-side sentiment shock.
Trump's statement of an expected 10-15 mb/d cut was the catalyst for the record Brent gain on April 2.