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Urea prices edged up after a successful India tender, with Egyptian sellers concluding smaller cargoes to Europe at USD 393/tonne FOB and Dangote reportedly selling cargoes in the mid-to-high USD 340s FOB. Southeast Asian urea sales were reported in the low-to-middle USD 360s FOB, while Indonesian exports remain absent.
Suggestions of a large Chinese oversupply raise the prospect of renewed Chinese exports.
Tender-driven demand is lifting urea prices, but a possible return of Chinese export volumes could cap gains and pressure prices in the coming months. Buyers should expect firm nitrogen costs near term with downside risk if China resumes exports.
czapp.comStein Chingen Haugan23 de dez. de 2024Após 176 eventos altista de comércio passados, Ureia subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,3% a +2,4%), e +1,6% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
A successful India tender and firmer FOB offers from Egypt, Nigeria and Southeast Asia point to stronger demand and a price uplift, though the note describes only a modest gain and flags Chinese export risk, and it predates the move by a few days.
