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The American Farm Bureau's economist John Newton reports that recent COVID-19-related price volatility and a 2018 farm bill pricing change are likely to produce negative producer price differentials in Federal Milk Marketing Order revenue pools. These negative PPDs are expected to offset $5 to $7 per hundredweight of recent milk price gains for some farmers and prompt large volumes of manufacturing milk to be de-pooled.
Negative PPDs reduce farm-level milk returns even as wholesale dairy prices rally, which can change milk marketing and supply decisions. De-pooling shifts milk out of the pools, affecting how much milk reaches the market and the price farmers actually receive.
fb.orgJohn Newton, Ph.D.30 de jun. de 2020Após 24 eventos baixista de política passados, Leite (Classe III) subiu em mediana -0,1% em 5 sessões (33% de alta; metade central de -1,8% a +0,5%), e -4,6% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
