
CGS-CIMB expects crude palm oil prices to stay under pressure in the RM4,000 to RM5,000 per tonne range. Spot CPO has fallen 30% to RM4,698 since Indonesia lifted its export ban on May 23, with most of the drop after the switch to the Domestic Market Obligation system.
Heavy Indonesian export permits, with 2.44 million tonnes issued through early July, add supply while slower global growth limits demand. Buyers should expect palm oil to remain weak in the near term.
Após 158 eventos baixista de comércio passados, Óleo de palma subiu em mediana +0,0% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,3% a +0,8%), e -1,4% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Analysis attributes the roughly 30% slide since the export ban lifted to higher Indonesian exports under the DMO system and slower global growth, confirming the supply-driven bearish trend.
Analyst view that higher Indonesian exports and slower global growth keep prices under pressure explains the downside.