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Fertilizer prices are heading toward record highs after a series of supply shocks, including Hurricane Ida, European production slowdowns and China's phosphate export ban. StoneX's Josh Linville says urea has not yet reached 2008 highs, but the market is more supply-driven than in 2008.
Concerns are growing that prices could surpass 2008 levels.
A supply-driven shock in urea and phosphate threatens to raise production costs and reduce fertilizer application for the 2022 season. That could lift grain and feed prices.
agrimarketing.com29 de set. de 2021Após 176 eventos altista de comércio passados, Ureia subiu em mediana +0,1% em 5 sessões (51% de alta; metade central de -1,3% a +2,4%), e +1,6% em 20.
Após 193 eventos altista de comércio passados, DAP subiu em mediana +0,4% em 5 sessões (54% de alta; metade central de -0,3% a +1,8%), e +1,9% em 20.
Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.
Describes a series of supply shocks (Ida, European slowdowns, China export curbs) pushing fertilizer toward record highs, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
A series of supply shocks (Ida, European slowdowns, China export curbs) pushed fertilizer toward record highs, driving panic buying and sentiment.
Cites China's export ban together with Hurricane Ida and European slowdowns as stacked supply shocks, which fed bullish sentiment in fertilizer including DAP.
