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26 de fev. de 2022GEOPOLÍTICAEUA

Will diesel fuel prices go up with Russia's invasion of Ukraine?

Commercial Carrier Journal reports the US national average on-highway diesel price topped $4 a gallon in February for the first time in almost eight years. Goldman Sachs moved its $125/bbl crude forecast forward to summer 2022 after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and analysts expect wide refining margins.

POR QUE IMPORTA

Higher crude and wide diesel refining margins keep fuel and freight costs high for feed buyers, with the Ukraine conflict adding to the supply risk premium.

AFETAULSD / Diesel▲Petróleo (WTI)▲Petróleo (Brent)▲

FONTE
ccjdigital.comJason Cannon26 de fev. de 2022

Reação de preço e histórico

ULSD / Diesel▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +5,3%5d +34,3%20d +46,0%

Após 250 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, ULSD / Diesel subiu em mediana +1,7% em 5 sessões (58% de alta; metade central de -3,6% a +8,7%), e +0,9% em 20.

17 de jan. de 2025International Diesel Prices Surge After U.S. Sanctions on Russia | OilPrice.com-3,6%
17 de jan. de 2025Global diesel prices spike as US hits Russia with new sanctions-3,6%
4 de mar. de 2022Crude oil prices rise above $100 per barrel after Russia’s further invasion into Ukraine - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)-5,5%
17 de jan. de 2023DOE/EIA price drops; diesel futures up ahead of EU ban on Russian imports - FreightWaves+8,6%
28 de out. de 2025Diesel Prices Jump on Russia Sanctions and Refinery Outages - Bloomberg-1,4%

Petróleo (WTI)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +4,7%5d +26,3%20d +25,9%

Após 626 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (WTI) subiu em mediana +2,1% em 5 sessões (62% de alta; metade central de -2,3% a +8,5%), e +1,6% em 20.

4 de mar. de 2022Crude oil prices rise above $100 per barrel after Russia’s further invasion into Ukraine - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)-1,6%
17 de mar. de 2022The Invasion of Ukraine is Accelerating the Supercycle in Commodities | Goldman Sachs+21,1%
21 de mar. de 2022U.S. wheat, corn, soy rally on concerns about Ukraine-Russia fighting | Financial Post+10,3%
7 de ago. de 2023The Commodities Feed: Russia-Ukraine tensions add to oil supply risks | articles | ING THINK+0,5%
18 de fev. de 2026Oil settles up 4% on Iran-US tensions, Russia-Ukraine talks end without breakthrough | Reuters+5,1%

Petróleo (Brent)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +3,9%5d +23,1%20d +23,8%

Após 656 eventos altista de geopolítica passados, Petróleo (Brent) subiu em mediana +1,9% em 5 sessões (63% de alta; metade central de -2,7% a +6,6%), e +0,7% em 20.

17 de jan. de 2025International Diesel Prices Surge After U.S. Sanctions on Russia | OilPrice.com-4,1%
23 de mar. de 2022How Russia's invasion of Ukraine rocked commodity markets-5,9%
1 de mar. de 2022Euro falls to lowest since June 2020 as Russia's invasion of Ukraine picks up+23,6%
17 de jan. de 2025Global diesel prices spike as US hits Russia with new sanctions-4,1%
4 de mar. de 2022Crude oil prices rise above $100 per barrel after Russia’s further invasion into Ukraine - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)-0,9%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

ULSD / Diesel DIESEL · GP ▸

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Petróleo (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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